The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Notaresco 51.6%
Draw 25.8%
Castelnuovo Vomano 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.7%
26.3%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
16.9%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Castelnuovo Vomano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-18.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notaresco that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelnuovo Vomano than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castelnuovo Vomano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Notaresco - Castelnuovo Vomano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 7).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Castelnuovo Vomano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match San Nicolรฒ Notaresco is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches San Nicolรฒ Notaresco won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
Including matches at home between the teams San Nicolรฒ Notaresco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.