Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Notaresco		Castelnuovo Vomano

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.4	4.1
	1.72	3.4	4
	1.73	3.5	3.75
	1.71	3.29	3.77
	1.76	3.64	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.71)	3.45 ↑ (3.29)	3.94 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notaresco
51.6%

Draw
25.8%

Castelnuovo Vomano
22.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.3%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

16.9%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Castelnuovo Vomano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-18.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notaresco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelnuovo Vomano than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castelnuovo Vomano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Notaresco - Castelnuovo Vomano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 7).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Castelnuovo Vomano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match San Nicolò Notaresco is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches San Nicolò Notaresco won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams San Nicolò Notaresco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notaresco Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie D
17.11.21	Sambenedettese - Notaresco	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
31.10.21	Fano - Notaresco	1:2 ✺
24.10.21	Notaresco - Vastese	1:2 ✺
17.10.21	Porto DAscoli - Notaresco	1:1 ✺
10.10.21	Notaresco - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLTW
- ASD Castelnuovo Vomano
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.11.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Trastevere	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Chieti - Castelnuovo Vomano	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
24.10.21	Matese - Castelnuovo Vomano	2:1 ✺
17.10.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Aurora Alto Casertano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
14.04.21	Notaresco - Castelnuovo Vomano	3:0
23.12.20	Castelnuovo Vomano - Notaresco	1:2

Notaresco - Castelnuovo Vomano

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Notaresco - Castelnuovo Vomano Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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