Match Info
Serie D - Group F - Round 24Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday
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Notaresco |
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Vigor Senigallia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.05 |
3 |
3.45 |
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2 |
2.94 |
3.72 |
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2.03 |
3.05 |
3.68 |
 Watch |
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2.05 |
2.75 |
3.6 |
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2.01 |
2.94 |
3.79 |
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2 |
3 |
3.75 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.11) |
2.95 ↓
(3.13) |
3.67 ↑
(3.25) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Notaresco
44.7% | Draw
30.7% | Vigor Senigallia
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notaresco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)Notaresco - Vigor Senigallia Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Paudice L. ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 1, De Marco C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 7)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notaresco won 0.Recent form of Notaresco has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).In recent matches, Vigor Senigallia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). Notaresco could have a small edge in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Notaresco won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Notaresco won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Vigor Senigallia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 13 |
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| 7 | Notaresco Calcio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group F | | | 12.10.25 | Vigor Senigallia - Notaresco | 0:0 | | 17.04.25 | Notaresco - Vigor Senigallia | 2:2 | | 08.12.24 | Vigor Senigallia - Notaresco | 2:1 | | 14.01.24 | Vigor Senigallia - Notaresco | 0:0 | | 17.09.23 | Notaresco - Vigor Senigallia | 4:4 | | 22.01.23 | Vigor Senigallia - Notaresco | 1:1 |
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