Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Idrettsparken Notodden (Notodden)


	Notodden		Eik-Tønsberg

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.60	6.50
	1.32	4.95	7.00
	1.37	5.44	6.87
	1.34	5.2	7.4	Watch
	1.35	5.35	6.10
	1.37	4.97	7.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.42)	5.09 ↑ (4.57)	6.87 ↑ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notodden
68.4%

Draw
18.1%

Eik-Tønsberg
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

19.9%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

19%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notodden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Eik-Tønsberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eik-Tønsberg than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Notodden - Eik Tønsberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Solas S. O. (G) 16. Bertelsen N. 20. Bjerkan B. 7. Galta J. 2. Gunnerod J. 8. Jorgensen S. 9. Leandersson E. 22. Nordbo T. 10. Pettersen A. 23. Ryste A. (C) 27. Wenneberg M.	1. Moe E. (G) 10. Andersen B. 5. Brendsrod T. 21. Flood C. 15. Lillevik Kristian 4. Lundhagebakken J. 18. Muhle E. 8. Nygaard T. (C) 17. Schmidt Godo W. 20. Srour M. 9. Stokke B.
Substitutes
5. Ahmed M. 14. Foss-Erstad T. 15. Rasberg S. 32. Steen T. 31. Straand S. (G)	25. Carlstedt K. 6. Danielsen H. 28. Fossnes M. 14. Gunnarsson Lavlund E. 35. Rachlew-Ronningen D. (G) 3. Roberg V. S. 77. Solli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', Bertelsen N. ↓, Foss-Erstad T. ↑,
21', Schmidt Godo W. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Galta J. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Stokke B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Schmidt Godo W. ↓, Carlstedt K. ↑,
46', Brendsrod T. ↓, Roberg V. S. ↑,
64', Muhle E. ↓, Solli M. ↑,
69', Pettersen A. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Solli M. ⚽,
84', Srour M. ↓, Gunnarsson Lavlund E. ↑,
88', Roberg V. S. 🟨,
90', Flood C. ↓, Danielsen H. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 3, Solli M. ⚽,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 6th and 14th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notodden won 2.

Notodden has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Eik-Tønsberg has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The betting markets point to Notodden as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Notodden has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:3 (averaging 0.9:0.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Notodden against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:1 goals (averaging 0.7:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Notodden	22	10	5	7	31:20	11	35
13	Eik-Tonsberg ✔	22	3	1	18	24:50	-26	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
26.09.26	Jerv - Notodden	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Notodden - Arendal	4:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Notodden - Odd	2:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.09.26	Træff - Notodden	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Notodden - Lysekloster	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLTW
- Eik-Tønsberg
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
27.09.26	Eik-Tønsberg - Bjarg	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Brattvåg - Eik-Tønsberg	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Eik-Tønsberg - Pors	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Sandviken - Eik-Tønsberg	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Eik-Tønsberg - Sotra	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.04.26	Eik-Tønsberg - Notodden	0:1
18.10.25	Notodden - Eik-Tønsberg	0:1
05.04.25	Eik-Tønsberg - Notodden	1:1
Club Friendly
08.02.25	Eik-Tønsberg - Notodden	0:0
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.07.24	Eik-Tønsberg - Notodden	1:2
14.04.24	Notodden - Eik-Tønsberg	0:0
Club Friendly
28.02.24	Notodden - Eik-Tønsberg	2:0

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