Match Info

Date: 26 September 2021, Sunday


	Notodden		Nardo

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.77	3.6	3.85
	1.7	3.65	4
	1.76	3.85	4.23
	1.72	3.78	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.76)	3.66 ↓ (3.72)	3.99 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notodden
52.1%

Draw
25%

Nardo
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

24.6%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

15.8%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Notodden have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Nardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notodden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Notodden - Nardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Notodden could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Notodden is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Notodden won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Notodden won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
18.09.21	Fram Larvik - Notodden	2:3 ✺
11.09.21	Notodden - Sotra	3:0 ✺
05.09.21	Flekkerøy - Notodden	1:1 ✺
02.09.21	Notodden - Kjelsås	3:3 ✺
30.08.21	Odd 2 - Notodden	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTTL
- Nardo FK
Norwegian NM Cup
22.09.21	Nardo - Arendal	3:2 penalties ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
19.09.21	Nardo - Arendal	2:2 ✺
12.09.21	Fram Larvik - Nardo	2:2 ✺
29.08.21	Sotra - Nardo	3:1 ✺
22.08.21	Nardo - Sotra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
14.08.21	Nardo - Notodden	0:2
26.09.20	Notodden - Nardo	2:1
30.09.17	Nardo - Notodden	2:1
18.06.17	Notodden - Nardo	2:0

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