The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Flekkerøy 32.6%
Draw 26.5%
Notodden 40.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
25.2%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
23.7%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flekkerøy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flekkerøy's form might have worsened.
Notodden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notodden's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flekkerøy than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flekkerøy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notodden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Flekkerøy - Notodden Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Solberg I. (G) 10. Andersen H. 24. Barosen A. 30. Brandal N. 3. Byklum H. 8. Gamachis D. (C) 15. Lillehammer F. 5. Quranolli R. 7. Richardsen S. 22. Ringsbu S. 23. Seim J.
1. Klausen P. (G) 20. Bjerkan B. 4. Hammerli J. (C) 2. Jacobsen N. 8. Jorgensen S. 14. Kristoffersen F. 18. Kyvik L. 29. Singh B. 10. Singh K. 3. Ullenes P. 7. Ulsnes J.
Substitutes
9. Frostad P. R. 1. Kristiansen M. (G) 4. Kvalsvik G. 21. Levinsen Arild J. 11. Nahiry E. 17. Ronningen O. 13. Skeie P. 14. Tjoland M.
5. Ahmed M. 17. Holthe J. 21. Nesland J. 22. Nordbo T. 31. Straand S. (G) 19. Svarstad S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Ullenes P. (Pen),
45', Bjerkan B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', Hammerli J. 🟨,
57', Singh B. ↓, Holthe J. ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Bjerkan B. ⚽,
65', Richardsen S. ↓, Skeie P. ↑,
65', Seim J. ↓, Tjoland M. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Lillehammer F. ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, Tjoland M. ⚽,
85', Hammerli J. ↓, Nesland J. ↑,
85', Kristoffersen F. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
89', Kyvik L. 🟨,
90', Barosen A. ↓, Ronningen O. ↑,
90+1', Ulsnes J. ↓, Nordbo T. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flekkerøy won 3.
A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Flekkerøy won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Flekkerøy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).