Match Info

Date: 12 June 2022, Sunday


	Notodden		Staal Jørpeland

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.7	3.4
	1.88	3.7	3.35
	1.81	3.7	3.45
	1.83	4.18	3.59
	1.75	3.5	3.7
	1.78	3.88	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.11)	3.78 ↑ (3.78)	3.54 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notodden
50.3%

Draw
24.1%

Staal Jørpeland
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

24.1%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

24.6%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notodden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notodden's performance.

Staal Jørpeland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Staal Jørpeland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notodden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Staal Jørpeland than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Staal Jørpeland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Notodden - Staal Jørpeland Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Notodden will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Staal Jørpeland will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notodden: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Notodden could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Notodden will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.06.22	Egersund - Notodden	2:0 ✺
28.05.22	Notodden - Flekkerøy	0:4 ✺
22.05.22	Strømmen - Notodden	4:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
19.05.22	Åssiden - Notodden	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
14.05.22	Notodden - Arendal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLLWW
- Staal Jørpeland
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
04.06.22	Staal Jørpeland - Ullern	1:1 ✺
28.05.22	Kvik Halden - Staal Jørpeland	1:1 ✺
22.05.22	Staal Jørpeland - Vard Haugesund	6:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
19.05.22	Vidar - Staal Jørpeland	4:0 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
14.05.22	Sotra - Staal Jørpeland	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTWLL

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