Match Info

NM Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Idrettsparken Notodden (Notodden)


	Notodden		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	10	4.75	1.3
	6	4	1.42
	8.6	5	1.27
	9.32	5.08	1.28
	12.1	4.85	1.26
	8.6	5	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.1 ↑ (6.63)	4.78 ↑ (3.87)	1.3 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notodden
10.1%

Draw
19.2%

Stabæk
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

23.5%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

22.3%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notodden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stabæk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Notodden - Stabæk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Naess N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
72', 0 - 2, Diabate B. ⚽, Andresen A. (A),
90+1', 0 - 3, Diabate B. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Stabæk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Stabæk is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Notodden won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:7 (average 1:3.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Notodden won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:7 (average 1:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
05.04.25	Eik-Tønsberg - Notodden	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Notodden - Vard Haugesund	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Ullensaker Kisa - Notodden	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Mjøndalen - Notodden	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Notodden - Follo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWTLL
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.04.25	Lyn - Stabæk	0:1 ✺
31.03.25	Stabæk - Hødd	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Kongsvinger - Stabæk	1:0 ✺
27.02.25	Stabæk - Sandefjord	1:3 ✺
14.02.25	Stabæk - Hillerød	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian NM Cup
22.06.22	Notodden - Stabæk	1:3 ET
31.05.17	Notodden - Stabæk	1:4 ET

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