Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 5

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Bislett Stadium (Oslo)

Referee: Grotta M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Lyn		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.6	2.2
	2.4	3.6	2.45
	2.58	3.85	2.35	Watch
	2.64	4.19	2.37
	2.35	4.19	2.5	Watch
	2.5	3.75	2.25
	2.56	3.96	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.39)	3.88 ↓ (4.11)	2.34 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lyn
36.7%

Draw
23.8%

Stabæk
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

22.7%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

22.6%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyn than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Lyn - Stabæk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stabæk will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Stabæk (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stabæk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedersen A. (G) 55. Haugen S. 4. Sell W. 6. Midtskogen A. 18. Nilsen H. 21. Skaug J. 14. Isufi E. 24. Fredriksen D. 9. Olsen A. 11. Hellum A. 26. Sawaneh E.	22. Ulla M. (G) 2. Riise F. 4. Naess N. 15. Veum O. 29. Ekorness K. 28. Tobiassen B. 7. Solnordal O. 23. Wendt W. 24. Hanstad J. 8. Dahlby M. 10. Olderheim S.
Substitutes
27. Barnett I. 10. Johansen M. 22. Kurtovic W. 7. Monglo I. 30. Sock F. 5. Vik I.	33. Aamodt A. 27. Hansen M. 1. Lokkevik K. (G) 21. Onsrud K. 18. Oppedal O. 5. Skjelvik J.
Coaches
Aadland M.	Kjell A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, Dahlby M. (Penalty Awarded),
19', 0 - 2, Olderheim S. ⚽,
20', Fredriksen D. 🟨,
38', Sawaneh E. ↓, Waehler W. T. ↑,
40', 0 - 3, Hanstad J. ⚽, Dahlby M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Skaug J. 🟨,
58', Hanstad J. 🟨,
64', Hanstad J. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
68', Skaug J. ↓, Monglo I. ↑,
68', Isufi E. ↓, Vik I. ↑,
77', Tobiassen B. ↓, Matic A. ↑,
87', Riise F. ↓, Hoven A. ↑,
87', Dahlby M. ↓, Aamodt A. ↑,
89', 0 - 4, Sanyang A. ⚽, Olderheim S. (A),
90', Sanyang A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Lyn is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stabæk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyn won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 3.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Stabaek: 0.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Stabaek	24	14	3	7	57:31	26	45
10	Lyn	24	8	4	12	39:49	-10	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyn Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.04.26	Moss - Lyn	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Lyn - Sandnes Ulf	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Sogndal - Lyn	0:3 ✺
06.04.26	Lyn - Haugesund	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
30.03.26	Odd - Lyn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.04.26	Stabæk - Haugesund	3:2 ✺
19.04.26	Odd - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Stabæk - Åsane	4:0 ✺
05.04.26	Strømsgodset - Stabæk	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.03.26	Stabæk - Moss	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.11.25	Stabæk - Lyn	1:5
06.04.25	Lyn - Stabæk	0:1
04.08.24	Lyn - Stabæk	7:1
16.05.24	Stabæk - Lyn	2:2
Norwegian NM Cup
19.05.22	Lyn - Stabæk	2:3

Upcoming Matches