The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nouadhibou 51.4%
Draw 30.1%
Chemal 18.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.1%
25.3%
13.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.1%
24.1%
13%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nouadhibou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nouadhibou's form might have worsened.
Chemal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nouadhibou than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nouadhibou, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemal than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chemal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nouadhibou - Chemal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
82', 2 - 0, ⚽,
86', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nouadhibou won 5.
Nouadhibou has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Chemal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Nouadhibou may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Nouadhibou is the undisputed favorite.
We predict that Nouadhibou will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nouadhibou won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 1.9:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Nouadhibou won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
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