Match Info
Ligue 1 - Round 12Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday
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Chemal |
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Inter Nouakchott |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.76 |
3.25 |
4.62 |
 Watch |
 |
1.8 |
2.9 |
4.5 |
|
 |
1.77 |
3.14 |
4.6 |
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 |
1.73 |
3.2 |
4.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.66) |
3.12 ↓
(3.33) |
4.56 ↓
(4.75) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Chemal
51.2% | Draw
28.9% | Inter Nouakchott
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chemal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Inter Nouakchott has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chemal than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Nouakchott than the current prediction. (-1.6%)Chemal - Inter Nouakchott Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 23', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 82', 🟥,
- 85', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Relegation).Chemal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Inter Nouakchott's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).Inter Nouakchott may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Inter Nouakchott has had a series of home games. In this match, Chemal is the team to beat.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chemal won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).Including home matches between the teams, Chemal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Chemal | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 36 |
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| 14 | Inter Nouakchott | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24:50 | -26 | 15 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Mauritania Ligue 1 | | | 25.10.24 | Chemal - Inter Nouakchott | 3:0 | | 11.03.24 | Inter Nouakchott - Chemal | 1:1 | | 22.10.23 | Chemal - Inter Nouakchott | 3:0 | | 27.05.23 | Chemal - Inter Nouakchott | 1:0 | | 23.12.22 | Inter Nouakchott - Chemal | 1:2 |
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