Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 11

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday


	Nouakchott Kings		Chemal

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.95	2.85
	2.44	3.04	2.82	Watch
	3	3	2.25
	2.3	3.04	2.96
	2.42	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (3.07)	3.01 ↑ (3)	2.73 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nouakchott Kings
36.5%

Draw
30.2%

Chemal
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

30.3%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

30%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nouakchott Kings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nouakchott Kings's performance.

Chemal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chemal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nouakchott Kings than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nouakchott Kings that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chemal than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chemal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nouakchott Kings - Chemal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Nouakchott Kings (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nouakchott Kings (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nouakchott Kings won 2.

Nouakchott Kings is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chemal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chemal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nouakchott Kings won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Nouakchott Kings won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nouakchott Kings
Mauritania Ligue 1
20.12.25	Nouakchott Academie - Nouakchott Kings	2:0 ✺
16.12.25	Nouakchott Kings - SNIM	2:3 ✺
05.12.25	Pompier - Nouakchott Kings	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Nouakchott Kings - Inter Nouakchott	1:1 ✺
21.11.25	Nouakchott Kings - Tevragh-Zeina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTT
- Chemal FC
Mauritania Ligue 1
21.12.25	Chemal - Police	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Douanes Nouakchott - Chemal	0:3 ✺
06.12.25	Chemal - Ksar	1:0 ✺
19.11.25	Chemal - Gendrim	3:4 ✺
09.11.25	Kaédi - Chemal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Mauritania Ligue 1
08.02.25	Nouakchott Kings - Chemal	2:2
14.09.24	Chemal - Nouakchott Kings	0:1
17.02.24	Chemal - Nouakchott Kings	0:2
16.09.23	Nouakchott Kings - Chemal	1:1
05.06.23	Chemal - Nouakchott Kings	1:0
11.02.23	Nouakchott Kings - Chemal	1:1

Nouakchott Kings - Chemal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide