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Current Win Probability
Nové Zámky 56.7%
Draw 22.7%
Častkovce 20.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.6%
25.3%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55%
24.2%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nové Zámky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Častkovce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nové Zámky than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Častkovce than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nové Zámky won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Nové Zámky could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The betting markets point to Nové Zámky as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Nové Zámky has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:26 (averaging 1.4:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nové Zámky against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:9 goals (averaging 2:2.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
FKM Nove Zamky
12
5
3
4
15:18
-3
18
14
Castkovce
12
3
2
7
18:27
-9
11
Last Results with these Odds
Častkovce - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 22.11%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.