The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nova Iguaçu 29.2%
Draw 30.9%
Portuguesa 39.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31%
28.6%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
27.9%
41.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Portuguesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Nova Iguaçu - Portuguesa Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Cristiano ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Sidney Pages ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
Nova Iguaçu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Portuguesa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.