Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Rio - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 August 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Nova Iguaçu		Serrano FC

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	4.5
	1.74	3.23	4.93
	1.72	3.27	4.95	Watch
	1.71	3.32	4.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.59)	3.28 ↓ (3.6)	4.79 ↓ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nova Iguaçu
53.2%

Draw
27.8%

Serrano FC
19%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.6%

25%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

23.7%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Serrano FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nova Iguaçu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serrano FC than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Nova Iguaçu - Serrano FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
87', 🟥,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Recent matches Nova Iguaçu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Serrano has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Serrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nova Iguaçu is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nova Iguaçu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Nova Iguaçu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Copa Rio
21.08.24	Serrano FC - Nova Iguaçu	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
17.08.24	Nova Iguaçu - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Internacional de Limeira - Nova Iguaçu	0:0 ✺
03.08.24	Nova Iguaçu - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	2:2 ✺
28.07.24	Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano - Nova Iguaçu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLTTW
- Serrano FC Petrópolis
Brazilian Copa Rio
21.08.24	Serrano FC - Nova Iguaçu	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
31.07.24	Cabofriense - Serrano FC	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Serrano FC - Petrópolis	0:1 ✺
06.07.24	Serrano FC - Olaria	1:2 ✺
03.07.24	Audax Rio - Serrano FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Rio
21.08.24	Serrano FC - Nova Iguaçu	1:2
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
21.11.20	Nova Iguaçu - Serrano FC	4:1

Nova Iguaçu - Serrano FC