Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO MATOGROSSENSE - ROUND 8

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Nova Mutum		Dom Bosco

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.25	5.25
	1.52	3.17	5.31
	1.59	3.62	5.55
	1.58	3.45	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.91)	3.37 ↑ (2.99)	5.43 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nova Mutum
56.9%

Draw
26.6%

Dom Bosco
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

30.5%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

31.1%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Mutum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nova Mutum's performance.

Dom Bosco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dom Bosco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Mutum than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nova Mutum that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dom Bosco than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Nova Mutum is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dom Bosco is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nova Mutum could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nova Mutum is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nova Mutum won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nova Mutum EC
Copa do Brasil
22.02.23	Nova Mutum - Londrina	4:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
16.02.23	Nova Mutum - Cuiabá	1:3 ✺
12.02.23	Cacerense - Nova Mutum	1:0 ✺
09.02.23	Mixto - Nova Mutum	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Nova Mutum - Academia Rondonópolis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLT
- CE Dom Bosco
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
15.02.23	Dom Bosco - Cacerense	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Sport Sinop - Dom Bosco	0:2 ✺
07.02.23	Dom Bosco - Luverdense	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Dom Bosco - Cuiabá	0:1 ✺
01.02.23	Academia Rondonópolis - Dom Bosco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
09.02.22	Dom Bosco - Nova Mutum	1:1
08.02.20	Dom Bosco - Nova Mutum	2:0

Nova Mutum - Dom Bosco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide