Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2023, Wednesday


	Nova Mutum		Londrina

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	2.1
	3.5	3	2
	4	3.15	1.96
	3.76	2.97	2.1
	3.7	2.9	2.05
	3.82	3.2	2.06
	3.6	3.15	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (2.86)	3.08 ↑ (3.04)	2.05 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nova Mutum
24.8%

Draw
30%

Londrina
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

30.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

29.6%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Mutum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nova Mutum's form might have worsened.

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Londrina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Mutum than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nova Mutum, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Londrina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Nova Mutum - Londrina Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Nova Mutum is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Londrina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nova Mutum EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
16.02.23	Nova Mutum - Cuiabá	1:3 ✺
12.02.23	Cacerense - Nova Mutum	1:0 ✺
09.02.23	Mixto - Nova Mutum	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Nova Mutum - Academia Rondonópolis	0:0 ✺
01.02.23	Operário Ltda - Nova Mutum	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTT
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
15.02.23	Coritiba - Londrina	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Londrina - Maringá	1:1 ✺
09.02.23	Foz do Iguaçu - Londrina	1:3 ✺
05.02.23	São-Joseense - Londrina	1:0 ✺
02.02.23	Londrina - Rio Branco PR	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTWLT

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