Match Info

Date: 4 May 2021, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Nova Mutum		Operário Ltda

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.9	3.6
	2.11	2.8	3.55
	2.21	2.95	3.79
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.13	3	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.82)	2.93 ↓ (3.8)	3.57 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nova Mutum
43.2%

Draw
31.2%

Operário Ltda
25.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.9%

23.9%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

20%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Mutum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nova Mutum's form might have worsened.

Operário Ltda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Mutum than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ltda than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Operário Ltda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Nova Mutum is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Operário Ltda in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Operário Ltda have a series of home games.

Nova Mutum will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nova Mutum won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nova Mutum EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
28.04.21	Nova Mutum - Luverdense	2:0 penalties ✺
25.04.21	Luverdense - Nova Mutum	1:0 ✺
31.03.21	Nova Mutum - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
28.03.21	Poconé - Nova Mutum	0:5 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.21	Nova Mutum - Tombense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLTWT
- Operário FC Ltda
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
28.04.21	Operário Ltda - Grêmio Sorriso	1:0 penalties ✺
24.04.21	Grêmio Sorriso - Operário Ltda	2:2 ✺
18.04.21	Operário Ltda - Grêmio Sorriso	2:1 ✺
06.04.21	Operário Ltda - Sinop	5:0 ✺
01.04.21	Operário Ltda - Poconé	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
30.01.20	Operário Ltda - Nova Mutum	0:2

Nova Mutum - Operário Ltda

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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