Match Info

BRAZIL: Matogrossense - Round 3

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Passo das Emas (Lucas do Rio Verde)


	Luverdense		Nova Mutum

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.5	5.75
	1.53	3.6	6
	1.53	3.69	6.19	Watch
	1.49	3.68	6.4
	1.53	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.72)	3.61 ↑ (3.3)	6.07 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luverdense
59.8%

Draw
25.2%

Nova Mutum
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

27.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luverdense's performance.

Nova Mutum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Luverdense - Nova Mutum Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leonardo (G) 7. Andrey Nunes 11. Bruninho 10. Everton Heleno 9. Flavio Torres 5. Humberto 8. Iago Felipe 3. Lazaro (C) 4. Matheus Santos 2. Raul Prata 6. Rubens Carvalho	1. Gabriel Batista (G) 3. Diego Baiano 7. Eliu 23. Gabriel Mury 2. Jair Junior 18. Johnson 20. Kaique 8. Luiz Fernando 4. Pedro Miritz 10. Thiago Ribeiro 11. Vini
Substitutes
17. Beto 12. Capellari E. (G) 15. Douglas Silva 18. Erik 23. Gean Junior 22. Isac Miller 13. Jefferson Feijao 14. Joao Miquelim 16. Joao Vitor 20. Leozinho 19. Lucas Alves	25. Caue 21. Dener 22. Guilherme Carneiro 5. Jackson Pereira 9. Marcus Vinicius 12. Rafael Bretas (G) 16. Ramires 17. Washington

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Vini ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bruninho ↓, Erik ↑,
46', Humberto ↓, Beto ↑,
46', Andrey Nunes ↓, Douglas Silva ↑,
51', Vini ↓, Dener ↑,
65', 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, Everton Heleno ⚽,
72', Santos L. ↓, Jefferson Feijao ↑,
75', 🟨,
75', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Washington ↑,
75', Caue ↓, Jair Junior ↑,
87', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luverdense won 2.

Luverdense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Luverdense is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Luverdense won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:9 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Luverdense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luverdense EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
15.01.25	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Luverdense - Primavera AC	1:1 ✺
05.04.24	Luverdense - Mixto	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Mixto - Luverdense	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Cuiabá - Luverdense	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTTWL
- Nova Mutum EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
15.01.25	Mixto - Nova Mutum	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa FMF Mato Grosso
02.11.24	Operário Ltda - Nova Mutum	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Cuiabá - Nova Mutum	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
09.03.24	Luverdense - Nova Mutum	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Nova Mutum - Luverdense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
09.03.24	Luverdense - Nova Mutum	1:0
02.03.24	Nova Mutum - Luverdense	2:2
18.02.24	Nova Mutum - Luverdense	0:1
22.01.23	Luverdense - Nova Mutum	0:1
26.01.22	Nova Mutum - Luverdense	1:0
28.04.21	Nova Mutum - Luverdense	2:0 penalties
25.04.21	Luverdense - Nova Mutum	1:0

Luverdense - Nova Mutum: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide