Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday


	Novelda		Elche Ilicitano

	1	X	2
	7	3.2	1.44
	8.2	3.2	1.48
	7.91	3.36	1.5
	7	3.74	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.53 ↑ (4.82)	3.38 ↓ (3.74)	1.48 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novelda
12%

Draw
26.8%

Elche Ilicitano
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

24.2%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

19.9%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novelda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Novelda's form might have worsened.

Elche Ilicitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novelda than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elche Ilicitano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Novelda - Elche Ilicitano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 6 (Relegation Group) and 2 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 6 (Promotion Group)).

Novelda is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ilicitano is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Novelda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ilicitano is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Novelda won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Novelda won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novelda CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
03.03.21	Novelda - Intercity	0:1 ✺
28.02.21	Eldense - Novelda	2:0 ✺
21.02.21	Hércules B - Novelda	1:1 ✺
17.02.21	Novelda - Español de San Vicente	3:1 ✺
14.02.21	Novelda - Villajoyosa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTWL
- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
21.02.21	Crevillente Deportivo - Elche Ilicitano	1:3 ✺
14.02.21	Elche Ilicitano - Hércules B	1:0 ✺
10.02.21	Elche Ilicitano - Español de San Vicente	2:2 ✺
07.02.21	Villajoyosa - Elche Ilicitano	1:4 ✺
03.02.21	Elche Ilicitano - Eldense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
06.12.20	Elche Ilicitano - Novelda	1:0
22.09.19	Elche Ilicitano - Novelda	4:0
13.10.18	Elche Ilicitano - Novelda	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
18.02.18	Novelda - Elche Ilicitano	0:0

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