Match Info

BRAZIL: GAUCHO - ROUND 11

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday


	Novo Hamburgo		Caxias

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.75	2.6	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.55
	2.8	2.95	2.6	Watch
	2.54	3.16	2.77
	2.71	3.04	2.58	Watch
	2.8	2.85	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3)	2.93 ↑ (2.6)	2.61 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novo Hamburgo
33.4%

Draw
31.4%

Caxias
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

35.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

36.6%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novo Hamburgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Novo Hamburgo - Caxias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Maticoli (G) 7. Anderson Tanque 3. Felipe Santiago 10. Guilherme Garre 2. Itaqui 8. Joao Barbieri 9. Luam Parede 11. Maranhao P. 6. Rai 5. Robson 4. Thiago Silva	1. Fabian Volpi (G) 4. Cezar 3. Denilson 6. Dudu Mandai 8. Elyeser 7. Emerson Martins 9. Gabriel Silva 5. Geilson 2. Marcelo 10. Tomas Bastos 11. Vitor Feijao
Substitutes
14. Anilson 22. Antony 12. Breno Boeno (G) 15. Christian 19. Edipo 17. Erick Bahia 21. Euder 18. Filipe Fraga 16. Joao Vinicius 13. Marcao 20. Paulinho Dias 23. Pipo	14. Alisson . Alvaro 20. Augusto Galvan 18. Joel Vinicius 13. Matheus Rocha . Pedro Cuiaba 16. Peu 19. Robinho 12. Ze Carlos (G)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburgo won 0.

Hamburgo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Caxias is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hamburgo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Hamburgo won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburgo won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Novo Hamburgo
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
26.02.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - Novo Hamburgo	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Novo Hamburgo - Internacional RS	1:3 ✺
14.02.24	Guarany de Bagé - Novo Hamburgo	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Novo Hamburgo - Juventude	1:1 ✺
06.02.24	Grêmio - Novo Hamburgo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- SER Caxias do Sul
Copa do Brasil
28.02.24	Portuguesa Santista - Caxias	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
24.02.24	Caxias - Avenida	2:0 ✺
19.02.24	Juventude - Caxias	1:1 ✺
15.02.24	Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Caxias - Santa Cruz-RS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
25.06.23	Caxias - Novo Hamburgo	2:0
04.06.23	Novo Hamburgo - Caxias	0:2
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
16.02.23	Novo Hamburgo - Caxias	1:1
20.02.22	Caxias - Novo Hamburgo	3:1
Club Friendly
15.01.22	Novo Hamburgo - Caxias	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
01.04.21	Novo Hamburgo - Caxias	3:0
Club Friendly
20.02.21	Novo Hamburgo - Caxias	0:0

Novo Hamburgo - Caxias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide