Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Numancia		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4.1
	1.73	3.25	4.20
	1.72	3.3	4.2
	1.93	3.28	3.89
	1.75	3.44	4.46	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.85
	1.85	3.2	3.95
	1.72	3.35	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.94)	3.3 ↑ (3.28)	4.11 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
50.5%

Draw
27.4%

CD Guadalajara
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

27.4%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Numancia - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Guadalajara is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bookmakers give the edge to Numancia for this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Numancia has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:10 (averaging 0.8:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Numancia against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Numancia	5	3	2	0	5:0	5	11
12	Guadalajara	5	1	2	2	8:9	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

CD Guadalajara - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.35%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.09.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Numancia	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.08.26	Numancia - Utebo	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Numancia - Zaragoza	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Numancia - Real Madrid C	0:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.05.26	Poblense - Numancia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWTL
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.09.26	CD Guadalajara - Alcalá	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	CD Guadalajara - Salamanca	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Conquense - CD Guadalajara	4:1 ✺
18.08.26	Marchamalo - CD Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Cacereño - CD Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.04.24	CD Guadalajara - Numancia	1:0
26.11.23	Numancia - CD Guadalajara	0:2
Spanish LaLiga2
11.05.13	Numancia - CD Guadalajara	2:2
08.12.12	CD Guadalajara - Numancia	5:1

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