Match Info

Date: 11 May 2022, Wednesday


	Numancia		Lleida

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.87	2.35
	2.95	2.95	2.38
	2.95	2.85	2.36
	3.11	3.01	2.35
	1.57	3.2	6
	3.13	2.98	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.23)	2.98 ↓ (3.15)	2.97 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
34.9%

Draw
32.5%

Lleida
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

32.1%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

33.6%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Numancia's form might have worsened.

Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lleida's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Numancia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lleida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	10%	40%

Numancia - Lleida Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Numancia will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Lleida will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Numancia: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 8).

Numancia is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for

Numancia in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Lleida is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Numancia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Numancia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Numancia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
08.05.22	Numancia - Ebro	2:0 ✺
01.05.22	Teruel - Numancia	0:2 ✺
23.04.22	Numancia - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
17.04.22	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Numancia	1:2 ✺
10.04.22	Numancia - Andratx	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW
- Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
08.05.22	Brea - Lleida	1:0 ✺
01.05.22	Lleida - Huesca B	1:0 ✺
24.04.22	Ejea - Lleida	0:1 ✺
17.04.22	Lleida - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Terrassa - Lleida	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWTW

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