Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Pinilla (Teruel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV


	Teruel		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.9	2.55
	2.55	2.95	2.75
	2.44	2.99	3.06
	2.56	2.94	2.8	Watch
	2.5	2.94	3.05
	2.55	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.87)	2.95 ↑ (2.88)	2.83 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teruel
36.3%

Draw
31.2%

Numancia
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

30.8%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

30.6%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teruel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Teruel's performance.

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Numancia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Teruel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Numancia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Teruel - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

Teruel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Numancia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Teruel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Teruel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Teruel
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.05.25	Atlético Baleares - Teruel	2:5 ✺
11.05.25	Teruel - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.05.25	Teruel - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Zaragoza B - Teruel	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Utebo - Teruel	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WTWLL
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.05.25	Numancia - Getafe B	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Getafe B - Numancia	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	Numancia - Real Avilés	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	Valladolid B - Numancia	1:3 ✺
20.04.25	Guijuelo - Numancia	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
01.05.22	Teruel - Numancia	0:2
12.12.21	Numancia - Teruel	0:0

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