Match Info

Date: 30 December 2021, Thursday


	Numancia		Racing Rioja

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.1
	2	3.35	3
	1.94	3.4	3.36
	1.96	3.5	3.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.02)	3.44 ↑ (3.38)	3.23 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
45.7%

Draw
26.3%

Racing Rioja
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

26.7%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

20.3%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Racing Rioja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Numancia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Rioja than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing Rioja, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Numancia - Racing Rioja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Numancia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Racing Rioja is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Racing Rioja could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Numancia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
19.12.21	Ebro - Numancia	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Numancia - Teruel	0:0 ✺
05.12.21	Tarazona - Numancia	0:1 ✺
28.11.21	Numancia - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Andratx - Numancia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWTW
- Racing Rioja
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.12.21	San Juan - Racing Rioja	1:0 ✺
05.12.21	Racing Rioja - Real Sociedad C	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Racing Rioja - Cartagena	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
27.11.21	Laredo - Racing Rioja	2:3 ✺
21.11.21	Racing Rioja - Tropezón	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLWW

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