Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 26Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday
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Arandina |
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Palencia CA |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.2 |
2.82 |
2.25 |
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3.28 |
2.99 |
2.24 |
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3.21 |
2.82 |
2.38 |
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3.3 |
2.8 |
2.15 |
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3.3 |
2.85 |
2.24 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.26 ↓ (3.38) |
2.86 ↑ (2.79) |
2.25 (2.25) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Arandina 27.9% | Draw 31.8% | Palencia CA 40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Palencia CA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (+1.7%)Arandina - Palencia CA Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 90+2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).Arandina is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Palencia CA is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). Palencia CA might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arandina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).Including home matches between the teams, Arandina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Palencia CA | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
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| 8 | Arandina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;