Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Numancia B		Atlético Mansillés

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.92	3.15
	2.25	2.97	3.28
	2.25	2.75	3.25
	2.21	2.92	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.26)	2.89 ↑ (2.85)	3.24 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia B
40.7%

Draw
31.3%

Atlético Mansillés
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

31.9%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

31.6%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Atlético Mansillés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia B than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Atlético Mansillés aligns with the current prediction.

Numancia B - Atlético Mansillés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 1)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Mansillés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Mansillés has had a series of home games.

Numancia B might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mansilles	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Numancia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
15.02.26	Atlético Tordesillas - Numancia B	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Mirandés B - Numancia B	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Numancia B - Palencia CA	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Villaralbo - Numancia B	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Numancia B - Unionistas B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWLW
- Atlético Mansillés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
14.02.26	Atlético Mansillés - Palencia CA	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Villaralbo - Atlético Mansillés	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Atlético Mansillés - Colegios Diocesanos	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Atlético Mansillés - Guijuelo	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Atlético Mansillés - Leonesa B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTWW

Numancia B - Atlético Mansillés: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide