Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 1 May 2023, Monday


	Nuneaton Town		Rushall Olympic

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.3	3.2
	1.96	3.25	3.15
	2.05	3.36	3.43
	1.99	3.5	3.35
	1.95	3.5	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.27)	3.38 ↑ (3.3)	3.29 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuneaton Town
45.6%

Draw
26.8%

Rushall Olympic
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

27.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

27.7%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuneaton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nuneaton Town's performance.

Rushall Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuneaton Town than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nuneaton Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rushall Olympic than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Nuneaton Town - Rushall Olympic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nuneaton Town won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Nuneaton Town won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Nuneaton Town won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuneaton Town
English Southern League Central Division
26.04.23	Leiston - Nuneaton Town	1:2 ✺
22.04.23	Nuneaton Town - St Ives Town	3:0 ✺
20.04.23	Tamworth - Nuneaton Town	3:0 ✺
15.04.23	Ilkeston - Nuneaton Town	2:3 ✺
10.04.23	Mickleover Sports - Nuneaton Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWL
- Rushall Olympic
English Southern League Central Division
26.04.23	Coalville Town - Rushall Olympic	1:2 penalties ✺
22.04.23	Rushall Olympic - Alvechurch	1:4 ✺
20.04.23	Rushden & Diamonds - Rushall Olympic	1:3 ✺
15.04.23	Stourbridge - Rushall Olympic	2:0 ✺
10.04.23	Hednesford Town - Rushall Olympic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
04.03.23	Rushall Olympic - Nuneaton Town	3:0
22.10.22	Nuneaton Town - Rushall Olympic	0:0
15.01.22	Nuneaton Town - Rushall Olympic	0:0
17.08.21	Rushall Olympic - Nuneaton Town	2:1
07.12.19	Nuneaton Town - Rushall Olympic	1:3
Club Friendly
19.07.16	Rushall Olympic - Nuneaton Town	1:1

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