Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 20

Date: 30 December 2023, Saturday


	Leiston		Nuneaton Town

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.4	3.25
	1.95	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.02	3.78	3.35
	1.97	3.78	3.35
	1.91	3.4	3.3
	1.95	3.45	3.34
	1.95	3.5	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.61)	3.54 ↑ (3.44)	3.31 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
46.7%

Draw
25.8%

Nuneaton Town
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

26.4%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

26.3%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leiston's performance.

Nuneaton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nuneaton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leiston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuneaton Town than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuneaton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leiston - Nuneaton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leiston won 2.

Recent matches Leiston is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nuneaton Town is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Nuneaton Town have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Leiston won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Leiston won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
23.12.23	Leiston - Stratford Town	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Bromsgrove Sporting - Leiston	0:0 ✺
11.12.23	Hitchin Town - Leiston	1:4 ✺
28.11.23	Alvechurch - Leiston	0:2 ✺
25.11.23	Leiston - Stamford	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTWWW
- Nuneaton Town
English Southern League Central Division
23.12.23	Sudbury Town - Nuneaton Town	4:2 ✺
17.12.23	Nuneaton Town - AFC Telford United	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Nuneaton Town - Fylde	2:3 penalties ✺
English Southern League Central Division
28.11.23	Kettering Town - Nuneaton Town	0:2 ✺
25.11.23	Mickleover Sports - Nuneaton Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
26.04.23	Leiston - Nuneaton Town	1:2
10.12.22	Nuneaton Town - Leiston	2:1
06.08.22	Leiston - Nuneaton Town	3:2
16.04.22	Leiston - Nuneaton Town	1:0
28.08.21	Nuneaton Town - Leiston	2:0
30.11.19	Leiston - Nuneaton Town	1:1

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