Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nuova Cosenza		Cavese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.95	2.60
	2.52	2.95	2.75	Watch
	2.67	3.05	2.76
	2.63	3.02	2.66	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.6
	2.58	2.9	2.63	Watch
	2.49	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.55)	2.97 ↑ (2.93)	2.68 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
35.5%

Draw
30.6%

Cavese
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

31%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

30.2%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Nuova Cosenza have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Cavese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Nuova Cosenza - Cavese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Iliev V. (G) 67. Clemente G. 26. Dametto P. (C) 33. Dalmazzi A. 4. Pascalau R. 47. Barone A. 14. Quieto D. 5. Contiliano N. 15. D'Alena A. 7. McJannet E. 17. Petrovic T.	12. Boffelli V. (G) 25. Peretti M. 26. Cionek T. (C) 17. Nunziata F. 11. Sava S. 8. Diarrassouba A. 5. Awua T. 4. Visconti E. 62. D'Amore F. 24. Orlando F. 9. Alberti T.
Substitutes
9. Achour S. 11. Almaviva M. 13. Cogoni A. 41. Contiero E. 49. De Sensi G. (G) 24. Dzepar O. 10. Energe A. 3. Giannini E. 71. Mazzulla A. 6. Ndow A. 23. Palmieri R. 77. Pozzi A. 21. Ragone D. 1. Rizzo M. (G)	97. Acerbo F. 2. Asiatico P. 22. Bertini M. (G) 20. Esposito G. 10. Fella G. 23. Fiordaliso A. 47. Fiorin G. 82. Fusco G. 1. Juwer R. (G) 61. Maiolo F. 28. Mannucci T. 33. Personeni M. 15. Ponziglione I. 46. Severino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Barone A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Quieto D. ↓, Energe A. ↑,
57', D'Amore F. ↓, Fiordaliso A. ↑,
59', Petrovic T. ↓, Achour S. ↑,
59', D'Alena A. ↓, Palmieri R. ↑,
64', Fiordaliso A. 🟨,
65', Alberti T. ↓, Fusco G. ↑,
73', Barone A. ↓, Almaviva M. ↑,
73', Orlando F. ↓, Esposito G. ↑,
73', Sava S. ↓, Fella G. ↑,
75', Clemente G. 🟨,
88', Almaviva M. ↓, Dzepar O. ↑,
89', Nunziata F. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Cosenza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cosenza has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cosenza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Cosenza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cavese	8	3	2	3	14:14	0	11
19	Cosenza	8	0	2	6	5:18	-13	2

Last Results with these Odds

Nuova Cosenza - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.54%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie C Group C
07.09.26	Catania - Nuova Cosenza	4:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Sorrento - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
29.08.26	Nuova Cosenza - Potenza	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Audace Cerignola - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.26	Crotone - Nuova Cosenza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLW
- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
06.09.26	Salernitana - Cavese	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Cavese - Audace Cerignola	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Bari - Cavese	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.08.26	Campobasso - Cavese	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.26	Cavese - Juve Stabia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
26.04.26	Cavese - Nuova Cosenza	1:1
19.12.25	Nuova Cosenza - Cavese	2:1

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