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Current Win Probability
Nuova Florida 39.7%
Draw 32.2%
Arzachena 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
30.5%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
31.2%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nuova Florida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Arzachena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Florida than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arzachena than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
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Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).
Recent matches Nuova Florida is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Arzachena is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Nuova Florida could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Nuova Florida will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Nuova Florida won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Nuova Florida won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.