The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nuova Florida 49.9%
Draw 27.5%
Muravera 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.4%
25.1%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.1%
20.9%
14.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nuova Florida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuova Florida's form might have worsened.
Muravera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Muravera's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Florida than the current prediction. (+19.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuova Florida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muravera than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Muravera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nuova Florida - Muravera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 12).
Nuova Florida in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Muravera has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Muravera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Nuova Florida will have a small advantage in this match.
Nuova Florida will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Nuova Florida won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Nuova Florida won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.