Match Info

2nd Division - Relegation Group - Round 32

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Lollands Bank Park (Nykobing Falster)


	Nykøbing		Thisted

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.2
	2.65	3.85	2.08
	2.97	3.9	2.21
	6.69	4.67	1.39	Watch
	2.58	3.89	2.25
	2.65	3.85	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (5.93)	3.96 ↓ (4.52)	2.04 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nykøbing
28.6%

Draw
24.2%

Thisted
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

20%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

19.5%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nykøbing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nykøbing's performance.

Thisted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thisted might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nykøbing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thisted than the current prediction. (+19.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thisted could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nykøbing - Thisted Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Thisted (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brylov M. (G) 2. Angus O. 23. Gartig O. 3. Jensen K. 11. Kold B. 20. Lohse W. 4. Molgaard V. 7. Nyman L. 16. Ogude E. 12. Svendsen O. 5. Ullum P.	1. Raahauge A. (G) 21. Foe Nuphaus J. 5. Gyldenlove Lyebalk M. 29. Hansen J. 19. Immersen M. 18. Jensen O. 24. Lagergaard E. 10. Maarouf M. 7. Overgaard O. 8. Seedorff E. 16. Wagner C.
Substitutes
28. Bottker M. 18. Frederiksen M. 22. Karlsson J. 26. Skov V. (G) 15. Sommer G. 10. Wass E.	27. Agesen M. 9. Andersen M. 33. Dalgaard J. 11. Horby C. 6. Mehl N. 4. Myrthue M. 15. Stricker S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Maarouf M. ⚽,
29', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 🟨,
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, ⚽,
79', 🟨,
84', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nykøbing won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Thisted may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Thisted is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Nykøbing won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nykøbing won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nykøbing FC
Danish 2 Division
06.06.25	Helsingør - Nykøbing	2:2 ✺
31.05.25	BK Frem - Nykøbing	0:1 ✺
23.05.25	Nykøbing - Hellerup	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Ishøj IF - Nykøbing	2:1 ✺
13.05.25	Nykøbing - Helsingør	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 TWWLT
- Thisted FC
Danish 2 Division
08.06.25	Thisted - BK Frem	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Hellerup - Thisted	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Thisted - Ishøj IF	3:3 ✺
18.05.25	Thisted - Helsingør	1:2 ✺
13.05.25	BK Frem - Thisted	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
09.05.25	Thisted - Nykøbing	1:1
27.10.24	Nykøbing - Thisted	2:2
18.08.24	Thisted - Nykøbing	1:0
11.11.23	Nykøbing - Thisted	1:1
23.09.23	Thisted - Nykøbing	2:2
Danish 1 Division
05.05.19	Thisted - Nykøbing	0:1
28.10.18	Nykøbing - Thisted	1:1

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