Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Svealand - Round 12

Date: 15 June 2026, Monday


	Nyköping		Smedby

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.50	3.00
	2.05	3.6	3.05
	1.95	3.65	3.18
	2	3.53	3.28	Watch
	2	3.3	3.1
	1.95	3.56	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.17)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	3.14 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nyköping
45.6%

Draw
25.7%

Smedby
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

26.3%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

25.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nyköping has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Smedby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nyköping than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smedby than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Nyköping - Smedby Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nyköping will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Smedby will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Frisk C. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nyköping won 3.

Nyköping is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Smedby has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Nyköping won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.5:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nyköping won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nykopings	24	13	4	7	39:23	16	43
7	Smedby	24	10	6	8	41:33	8	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nyköpings BIS
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
06.06.26	Nyköping - Fittja	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Nacka FC - Nyköping	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Rågsved - Nyköping	1:2 ✺
14.05.26	Nyköping - Lindö	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Eker Örebro - Nyköping	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWWT
- Smedby AIS
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
07.06.26	Örebro Syrianska - Smedby	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Smedby - Farsta	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Smedby - Syrianska	4:0 ✺
14.05.26	Sleipner - Smedby	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Smedby - Rågsved	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
19.09.25	Smedby - Nyköping	2:2
16.06.25	Nyköping - Smedby	0:1
07.04.24	Nyköping - Smedby	2:1
26.05.23	Smedby - Nyköping	0:2
06.08.22	Smedby - Nyköping	1:2
15.04.22	Nyköping - Smedby	1:0
28.06.21	Smedby - Nyköping	0:2

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