The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Smedby 45.2%
Draw 24.9%
Farsta 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
24.5%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
24.4%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smedby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Farsta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smedby than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsta than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Smedby - Farsta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 1 - 0, Onoseke-Longadi J. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 1, Modenius A. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 6).
Recent performances by Smedby have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Farsta is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Farsta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Smedby will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Smedby won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).
Including home match between the teams, Smedby won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.