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Current Win Probability
Brabrand 20%
Draw 23.5%
Nykøbing 56.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.5%
26.9%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
26.5%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brabrand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brabrand's form might have worsened.
Nykøbing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nykøbing's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brabrand than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brabrand, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nykøbing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Brabrand - Nykøbing Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 10th in the 2nd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 1st in the Promotion ~ 2nd Division (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brabrand won 2.
Brabrand has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Nykøbing is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Nykøbing could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Nykøbing has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Nykøbing for this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Brabrand has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:7 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Brabrand against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Nykobing
10
6
4
0
25:11
14
22
9
Brabrand
10
2
3
5
12:18
-6
9
Last Results with these Odds
Brabrand - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.5%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.