Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 8

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Ternopilsky Misky Stadion (Ternopil)


	Nyva Ternopil		Chernihiv

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.52	4.75	Watch
	1.84	3.27	4.02
	1.75	3.45	4.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.67)	3.41 ↓ (3.52)	4.32 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nyva Ternopil
52.1%

Draw
26.8%

Chernihiv
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

26%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

25.2%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nyva Ternopil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Chernihiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nyva Ternopil than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Nyva Ternopil - Chernihiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Olkhovyi I. (G) 4. Demydenko A. 77. Galadey D. 11. Mykhalchuk M. 27. Mykhayliv V. 97. Mykhayliv Y. 33. Mysyk M. (C) 10. Palamarchuk I. 91. Rezepov D. 6. Tlumak Y. 99. Vyshynskyi B.	35. Tatarenko M. (G) 13. Bezgubchenko D. 20. Fateev D. 12. Kartushov Y. 10. Koydan V. 9. Kulyk D. 7. Myronenko D. 33. Porokhnya A. 6. Shalfeev Y. 3. Shumylo M. 38. Shushko P.
Substitutes
14. Bats M. 9. Bey A. 1. Chubak W. (G) 44. Davydov S. 35. Demyanchuk A. 24. Dudarev D. 21. Gerega O. 45. Napuda V. 17. Pezhynskyi M. 18. Posyevkin R. 23. Sharun V. (G) 90. Uhriniuk M.	8. Bybik A. 2. Galstyan E. 99. Herasymenko D. (G) 17. Jurijovic V. 11. Novikov A. 55. Romanchenko A. 88. Stolyarchuk A. 25. Volskyi D. 23. Zenchenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Mysyk M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 0, Uhriniuk M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga).

Nyva T is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chernihiv's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chernihiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Chernihiv has had a series of away games.

In this match, Nyva T is the team to beat.

We predict that Nyva T will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nyva T won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Nyva T won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nyva Ternopil
Ukrainian Persha Liga
22.09.25	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Nyva Ternopil	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
18.09.25	Nyva Ternopil - Poltava	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.09.25	Nyva Ternopil - Viktoriya Sumy	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Probiy Horodenka - Nyva Ternopil	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Nyva Ternopil - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWWT
- FC Chernihiv
Ukrainian Cup
17.09.25	Chernihiv - Kryvbas	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.09.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Chernihiv	4:1 ✺
31.08.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Chernihiv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
25.08.25	Atlet Kyiv - Chernihiv	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
17.08.25	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Chernihiv	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.05.24	Chernihiv - Nyva Ternopil	3:3
13.04.24	Nyva Ternopil - Chernihiv	0:0

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