Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 11

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: MCS Rukh (Ivano-Frankivsk) 🌤️ ...


	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk		Chernihiv

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.05	4.2
	1.81	3.02	4.14
	1.9	3.12	4.15	Watch
	1.89	3.05	4.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.05)	3.06 ↓ (3.15)	4.15 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk
48.5%

Draw
29.6%

Chernihiv
21.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44%

28.6%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

28.3%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Chernihiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chernihiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chernihiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Prykarpattia Ivano Frankivsk - Chernihiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Bobynets A. (G) 27. Chushenko V. 23. Demkiv S. 3. Frantsuz V. (C) 9. Graban M. 77. Kos O. 21. Mykhalchuk P. 88. Protsiv M. 44. Runich V. 30. Shvets S. 10. Solovyov M.	35. Tatarenko M. (C) 15. Bezgubchenko D. 20. Fateev D. 2. Galstyan E. 12. Kartushov Y. 11. Novikov A. 44. Plakhtyr D. 33. Porokhnya A. 55. Romanchenko A. 77. Serdyuk M. 6. Shalfeev Y.
Substitutes
99. Bespalko Y. 8. Demchenko Y. 34. Genyk V. 4. Korol V. 19. Kozenko V. 41. Marusych M. 24. Pitsan I. (G) 7. Radulsky Y. 95. Rusyn R. 17. Stadnik M. 14. Tsyutsyura V. 29. Vladyslav O.	26. Azizov D. 21. Bezborodko D. 13. Galoyan S. 99. Gerasymenko D. (G) 10. Koydan V. 7. Myronenko D. 87. Rogozynskyi V. 3. Shumylo M. 23. Zenchenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Galstyan E. ↓, Shumylo M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 0 - 1, Plakhtyr D. ⚽,
65', 🟨,
80', 🟨,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th and 15th in the Relegation - Druha Liga).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Prykarpattia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Chernihiv has had a run of games away from home.

In this matchup, Prykarpattia is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Prykarpattia has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Prykarpattia against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Prykarpattya	13	4	4	5	13:15	-2	16
14	FC Chernihiv	11	2	4	5	12:16	-4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk
Ukrainian Persha Liga
03.10.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Metalist Kharkiv	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Inhulets - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - UCSA	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
16.09.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Kharkiv	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.09.26	Nyva Ternopil - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWLW
- FC Chernihiv
Ukrainian Cup
06.10.26	Trostianets - Chernihiv	2:4 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
02.10.26	Poltava - Chernihiv	3:2 ✺
27.09.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Chernihiv	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	UCSA - Chernihiv	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Chernihiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
29.11.25	Chernihiv - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	1:0
17.08.25	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Chernihiv	0:3
26.05.23	Chernihiv - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	0:2
28.04.23	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Chernihiv	2:0

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