Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 13

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Ternopilsky Misky Stadion (Ternopil)


	Nyva Ternopil		Podillya Khmelnytskyi

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.95	6.7
	1.64	3.32	5.11
	1.45	3.69	7.49	Watch
	1.6	3.55	5.18
	1.38	3.8	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.42)	3.66 ↓ (4.55)	6.5 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nyva Ternopil
60.9%

Draw
25%

Podillya Khmelnytskyi
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

20.2%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

19.3%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nyva Ternopil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Podillya Khmelnytskyi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nyva Ternopil than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nyva Ternopil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podillya Khmelnytskyi than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Nyva Ternopil - Podillya Khmelnytskyi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Podillya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Podillya (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Podillya (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Podillya (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nyva Ternopil will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Podillya (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Olkhovyi I. (G) 44. Davydov S. (C) 4. Demydenko A. 11. Mykhalchuk M. 97. Mykhayliv Y. 45. Napuda V. 10. Palamarchuk I. 91. Rezepov D. 6. Tlumak Y. 90. Uhriniuk M. 99. Vyshynskyi B.	33. Yurchuk V. (G) 88. Baran R. 10. Kulish M. 7. Kvasov Y. 5. Lys N. 20. Nikolyshyn O. 21. Rudyuk V. 2. Savchuk P. 35. Savin A. (C) 27. Serbinov D. 19. Shkinder V.
Substitutes
14. Bats M. 9. Bey A. 1. Chubak W. (G) 24. Dudarev D. 77. Galadey D. 21. Gerega O. 7. Mudryi M. 27. Mykhayliv V. 17. Pezhynskyi M. 18. Posyevkin R. 23. Sharun V. (G)	18. Azizov D. 9. Gemega V. 99. Kondratyuk J. (G) 17. Kozyrenko Y. 98. Ponomarenko I. (G) 13. Profatilo Y. 6. Serafimov O. 23. Shavrin V. 11. Sitalo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Tlumak Y. 🟨,
20', Uhriniuk M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Kulish M. ↓, Gemega V. ↑,
60', Uhriniuk M. ↓, Bey A. ↑,
60', Napuda V. ↓, Galadey D. ↑,
61', Tlumak Y. ↓, Mykhayliv V. ↑,
66', Kvasov Y. ↓, Shavrin V. ↑,
66', Baran R. ↓, Azizov D. ↑,
67', Rezepov D. ↓, Posyevkin R. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Savchuk P. ⚽,
78', Nikolyshyn O. 🟨,
81', Galadey D. 🟨,
81', Savchuk P. ↓, Serafimov O. ↑,
90+3', Yurchuk V. 🟨,
90+4', Azizov D. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nyva T won 2.

Nyva T is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Podillya's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Nyva T is the obvious favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nyva T won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Nyva T won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nyva Ternopil
Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.10.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Nyva Ternopil	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Nyva Ternopil - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Nyva Ternopil	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Nyva Ternopil - Chernihiv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLTW
- Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Ukrainian Persha Liga
18.10.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Metalist Kharkiv	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Chernihiv - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.11.24	Nyva Ternopil - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	2:1
21.09.24	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Nyva Ternopil	1:0
10.11.23	Nyva Ternopil - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:0
10.09.23	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Nyva Ternopil	2:0
Ukrainian Cup
02.08.23	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Nyva Ternopil	0:1 penalties
Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.09.21	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Nyva Ternopil	1:1
Club Friendly
12.02.20	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Nyva Ternopil	0:3

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