Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: OSC Metalist (Kharkiv)


	Metalist Kharkiv		Chornomorets Odesa

	1	X	2
	4.45	3.4	1.75
	5.40	3.63	1.58	Watch
	4.69	3.22	1.74
	4.2	3.33	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.69 ↓ (4.95)	3.4 ↓ (3.61)	1.71 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalist Kharkiv
19.5%

Draw
26.9%

Chornomorets Odesa
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

25.3%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

24.4%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalist Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Metalist Kharkiv - Chornomorets Odesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Rybak V. (C) 10. Bagachanskyi M. 8. Digtyar K. 27. Isaenko Y. 19. Kaydalov D. 7. Lutsiv P. 2. Mizyuk O. 5. Pidruchnyi D. 31. Porokh B. 6. Teplyakov D. 20. Vernattus D.	1. Yushchyshyn V. (G) 28. Gabelok A. (C) 77. Gerych V. 90. Hernandez L. 24. Jarju M. 95. Lopyryonok M. 23. Lunyov M. 18. Robakidze G. 30. Romanyuk Y. 6. Sklyar O. 3. Yermakov V.
Substitutes
21. Goryainov O. 39. Gryshchenko I. 9. Lutsiv V. 98. Orikhovskyi M. 38. Palyanychka K. 35. Pletnyov P. (G) 17. Prykhodko D. 30. Shapovalov I. 33. Sherstyuk Y. 40. Shevchenko M. 41. Smatko A. (G) 11. Tsvirenko O.	12. Aniagboso C. (G) 70. Joao Neto 4. Kratov M. 13. Osman O. 11. Popov K. 33. Pshenychnyuk O. 22. Ryazantsev Y. 80. Ryce A. 20. Sergeevich N. 71. Vichnyi Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Bagachanskyi M. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Bagachanskyi M. ⚽,
28', Popov K. ↓, Ryazantsev Y. ↑,
33', Gerych V. 🟨,
37', Sklyar O. 🟨,
42', Jarju M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Porokh B. (Own goal),
55', Lopyryonok M. ↓, Kratov M. ↑,
66', Isaenko Y. ↓, Lutsiv V. ↑,
66', Vernattus D. ↓, Prykhodko D. ↑,
79', Teplyakov D. ↓, Goryainov O. ↑,
79', Kaydalov D. ↓, Tsvirenko O. ↑,
87', Robakidze G. ↓, Ryce A. ↑,
88', Hernandez L. ↓, Pshenychnyuk O. ↑,
88', Gerych V. ↓, Joao Neto ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metalist won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Chornomorets is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Metalist won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Metalist won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
01.11.25	UCSA - Metalist Kharkiv	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Metalist Kharkiv	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:2 ✺
09.10.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWLW
- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Persha Liga
02.11.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Chornomorets Odesa	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Chernihiv	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Chornomorets Odesa	1:1 ✺
09.10.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Viktoriya Sumy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
04.06.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Chornomorets Odesa	0:3
25.11.22	Chornomorets Odesa - Metalist Kharkiv	0:0
Club Friendly
04.02.22	Metalist Kharkiv - Chornomorets Odesa	4:3 penalties
Ukrainian Premier League
07.05.16	Chornomorets Odesa - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1
06.12.15	Metalist Kharkiv - Chornomorets Odesa	2:2
31.05.15	Chornomorets Odesa - Metalist Kharkiv	Canceled
20.05.15	Metalist Kharkiv - Chornomorets Odesa	0:0

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