Match Info

UKRAINE: Persha Liga - Relegation Group - Round 6

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Nyva Ternopil		Hirnyk-Sport

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.95	3.7
	1.98	3.04	3.68
	1.98	3.04	3.68
	1.85	3.1	3.7
	2.03	3.06	3.82
	1.98	3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.65)	3.03 ↓ (3.46)	3.73 ↓ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nyva Ternopil
46%

Draw
29.8%

Hirnyk-Sport
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26.7%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

25.9%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nyva Ternopil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nyva Ternopil's form might have worsened.

Hirnyk-Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hirnyk-Sport's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nyva Ternopil than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nyva Ternopil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hirnyk-Sport than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hirnyk-Sport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Olkhovyi I. (G) 9. Bey A. 44. Davydov S. 33. Demchuk M. 30. Doroshenko A. 70. Golub D. 8. Kytsun M. 73. Makhinka D. 7. Mudryi M. 10. Riznyk A. 4. Zin A. (C)	35. Shukhman B. (G) 15. Chernysh D. 14. Chibueze C. 11. Dmytriev D. 94. Moroz Y. O. (C) 16. Odoh I. C. 17. Podrezan O. 9. Posyevkin R. 27. Romanenko A. 23. Studenko V. 19. Tuzenko D.
Substitutes
15. Dovbetskyi D. 77. Galadey D. 12. Khablo A. (G) 5. Khrustavka O. 3. Klymak Pavlovich V. 24. Kozak B. 71. Zhupanskyi V. (G)	13. Chertkoev I. 8. Dudka M. 12. Kozlov S. (G) 99. Mukhamatgaleyev V. 6. Podeiko M. 77. Sheptitskyi M. 20. Yurchenko I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Riznyk A. ⚽,
60', Podrezan O. ↓, Mukhamatgaleyev V. ↑,
60', Studenko V. ↓, Chertkoev I. ↑,
61', Romanenko A. ↓, Sheptitskyi M. ↑,
63', Makhinka D. ↓, Khrustavka O. ↑,
63', Doroshenko A. ↓, Kozak B. ↑,
64', Riznyk A. ↓, Galadey D. ↑,
67', Demchuk M. 🟨,
71', Kytsun M. ↓, Klymak Pavlovich V. ↑,
76', Posyevkin R. ↓, Dudka M. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Galadey D. ⚽, Golub D. (A),
80', Bey A. 🟨,
82', Golub D. ↓, Dovbetskyi D. ↑,
88', Chibueze C. 🟨,
90', Odoh I. C. ↓, Podeiko M. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nyva T won 4.

Recent matches Nyva T is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hirnyk-Sport is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nyva T could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nyva T is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Nyva T won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Nyva T won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nyva Ternopil
Ukrainian Persha Liga
21.04.24	Kremin Kremenchuk - Nyva Ternopil	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Nyva Ternopil - Chernihiv	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Nyva Ternopil	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Nyva Ternopil - Dinaz Vyshgorod	1:4 ✺
22.03.24	Hirnyk-Sport - Nyva Ternopil	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTWLW
- Hirnyk-Sport
Ukrainian Persha Liga
20.04.24	Hirnyk-Sport - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Hirnyk-Sport	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Hirnyk-Sport - Metalist Kharkiv	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Khust - Hirnyk-Sport	4:2 ✺
22.03.24	Hirnyk-Sport - Nyva Ternopil	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
22.03.24	Hirnyk-Sport - Nyva Ternopil	0:1
19.11.21	Hirnyk-Sport - Nyva Ternopil	0:2
14.08.21	Nyva Ternopil - Hirnyk-Sport	1:0
06.10.20	Hirnyk-Sport - Nyva Ternopil	4:1
07.11.15	Hirnyk-Sport - Nyva Ternopil	1:3
26.07.15	Nyva Ternopil - Hirnyk-Sport	0:0
24.05.15	Nyva Ternopil - Hirnyk-Sport	1:3

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