Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 17

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Slavutych-Arena (Zaporizhia)


	Metalurh Zaporizhya		Nyva Ternopil

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.5	1.72
	3.98	3.42	1.84	Watch
	4.23	3.32	1.78
	4	3.25	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↓ (5.95)	3.37 ↓ (4.06)	1.79 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalurh Zaporizhya
22%

Draw
27%

Nyva Ternopil
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

23.2%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

22.8%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalurh Zaporizhya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metalurh Zaporizhya's performance.

Nyva Ternopil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nyva Ternopil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalurh Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metalurh Zaporizhya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nyva Ternopil than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nyva Ternopil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Metalurh Zaporizhya - Nyva Ternopil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bayda N. (G) 77. Bandurin A. 19. Borysenko V. (C) 7. Irodovskyi D. 27. Klymenko V. 29. Lisnyak R. 25. Misanov M. 28. Rudavskyi M. 23. Slyusar D. 17. Yurechko I. 10. Zelinskyi D.	34. Olkhovyi I. (G) 14. Bats M. 4. Demydenko A. 21. Gerega O. 11. Mykhalchuk M. 27. Mykhayliv V. 33. Mysyk M. (C) 45. Napuda V. 10. Palamarchuk I. 91. Rezepov D. 6. Tlumak Y.
Substitutes
99. Bilyaev K. 15. Chervinskyi D. 33. Klimov G. (G) 13. Machulyan T. 76. Mokrytskyi V. (G) 16. Pasternak N. 90. Zaichenko Y.	9. Bey A. 32. Bidzinskyi B. 66. Kramarchuk M. 7. Mudryi M. 18. Posyevkin R. 23. Sharun V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metalurh Z won 0.

Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.

In this match, Nyva T is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Metalurh Z won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Metalurh Z won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukrainian Persha Liga
29.11.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:5 ✺
19.10.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Nyva Ternopil
Ukrainian Persha Liga
30.11.25	Nyva Ternopil - Inhulets	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Nyva Ternopil - Chornomorets Odesa	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Nyva Ternopil - UCSA	1:4 ✺
02.11.25	Vorskla Poltava - Nyva Ternopil	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
28.10.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Nyva Ternopil	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
10.08.25	Nyva Ternopil - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:0
18.05.25	Nyva Ternopil - Metalurh Zaporizhya	0:0
12.04.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Nyva Ternopil	1:1
12.05.24	Nyva Ternopil - Metalurh Zaporizhya	4:0
07.04.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Nyva Ternopil	0:2
27.05.23	Nyva Ternopil - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:1
30.04.23	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Nyva Ternopil	1:1

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