Match Info

UKRAINE: PERSHA LIGA - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 6

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday


	Nyva Ternopil		Obolon

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.87	2.05
	3.7	2.99	2.06
	3.74	3.08	2.07
	3.55	2.95	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (2.98)	2.97 ↑ (2.81)	2.05 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nyva Ternopil
25.1%

Draw
30.6%

Obolon
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

31.7%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

31.1%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nyva Ternopil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Obolon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Obolon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nyva Ternopil than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (-5%)

Nyva Ternopil - Obolon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Nyva T is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Obolon is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nyva T could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Obolon will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nyva T won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Nyva T won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nyva Ternopil
Ukrainian Persha Liga
06.05.23	LNZ Cherkasy - Nyva Ternopil	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Nyva Ternopil	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Nyva Ternopil - Kremin Kremenchuk	0:2 ✺
15.04.23	Obolon - Nyva Ternopil	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Nyva Ternopil - LNZ Cherkasy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TTLTL
- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
06.05.23	Obolon - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	Obolon - Karpaty Lviv	1:2 ✺
23.04.23	Polissya Zhytomyr - Obolon	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	Obolon - Nyva Ternopil	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Obolon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
15.04.23	Obolon - Nyva Ternopil	1:1
06.10.21	Nyva Ternopil - Obolon	0:1
10.04.21	Obolon - Nyva Ternopil	2:1
01.11.15	Obolon - Nyva Ternopil	2:2

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