Match Info

Super League - Round 30

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	MCF		MOFA

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.02	4.09
				Watch
	1.87	3.1	4.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.27)	3.06 ↑ (2.88)	4.12 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MCF
47.9%

Draw
29.9%

MOFA
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

31.5%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

31%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MCF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MCF's performance.

MOFA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MOFA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MCF than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MCF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MOFA than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MOFA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

MCF - MOFA Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
27', 1 - 0, ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

MCF will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, MCF won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MCF FC
Kenyan Super League
30.04.25	SamWest Blackboots - MCF	2:2 ✺
26.04.25	MCF - Mombasa Elite	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Nairobi United - MCF	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	MCF - Nzoia United	4:0 ✺
06.04.25	Vihiga United - MCF	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTTWL
- MOFA FC
Kenyan Super League
30.04.25	Darajani Gogo - MOFA	4:0 ✺
26.04.25	MOFA - Kibera Black Stars	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	MOFA - Fortune Sacco	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	MOFA - Naivas	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Mombasa Stars - MOFA	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
15.12.24	MOFA - MCF	4:1

MCF - MOFA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide