Match Info
Catarinense U20 - Round 9Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday
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Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 |
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Criciúma U20 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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4.13 |
3.63 |
1.69 |
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4.25 |
3.83 |
1.69 |
 Watch |
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4.42 |
3.8 |
1.64 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.27 ↑
(3.58) |
3.75 ↑
(3.5) |
1.67 ↓
(1.85) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Náutico Marcílio Dias U20
21.3% | Draw
24.3% | Criciúma U20
54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Criciúma U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Criciúma U20's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma U20 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Criciúma U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors. 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 5).Marcílio Dias U20 has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).Criciúma U20 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Marcílio Dias U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Criciúma U20 has had a series of home games. Criciúma U20 might have a minor edge in this game. We predict that Criciúma U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.85.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias U20 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Marcílio Dias U20 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Catarinense U20 | | | 05.08.24 | Criciúma U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 | 1:0 penalties | | 28.07.24 | Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Criciúma U20 | 2:2 | | 23.06.24 | Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Criciúma U20 | 0:0 | | 21.04.24 | Criciúma U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 | 3:2 |
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