Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Náxara		Brea

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.65
	2.65	2.95	2.75	Watch
	2.74	2.81	2.85
	2.72	2.81	2.88
	2.54	2.85	2.8
	2.65	2.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (4.65)	2.85 ↓ (3.28)	2.77 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náxara
34.7%

Draw
32.2%

Brea
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

27.7%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

26%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náxara's performance.

Brea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náxara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brea than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Náxara - Brea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Náxara has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brea is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Náxara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.11.23	Gernika - Náxara	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Náxara - Real Sociedad C	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Náxara - Melilla	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.10.23	Utebo - Náxara	3:2 ✺
22.10.23	Tudelano - Náxara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLLLL
- CD Brea
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.11.23	Brea - Tudelano	1:3 ✺
04.11.23	Calahorra - Brea	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Brea - Barakaldo	0:2 ✺
22.10.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Brea	0:0 ✺
14.10.23	Brea - San Juan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLTW

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