Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Gernika		Náxara

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.5
	1.82	3.2	3.95
	1.89	3.36	4.06
	1.88	3.33	3.91	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.9	3.43	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.93)	3.28 ↑ (3.17)	3.88 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
48.7%

Draw
27.8%

Náxara
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

28.5%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

29.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Náxara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Gernika - Náxara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Villoslada I. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 1 - 2, ⚽,
67', 1 - 3, ⚽,
74', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).

Gernika has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Náxara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gernika might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gernika won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gernika won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Naxara	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.03.26	Beasain - Gernika	4:0 ✺
08.03.26	Gernika - UD Logroñés	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Eibar B - Gernika	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Gernika - Sestao	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Mutilvera - Gernika	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.03.26	Náxara - Alavés B	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Ejea - Náxara	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Náxara - Basconia	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Zaragoza B - Náxara	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Náxara - Tudelano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.09.25	Náxara - Gernika	1:4
24.03.24	Náxara - Gernika	2:1
12.11.23	Gernika - Náxara	1:1
01.05.22	Gernika - Náxara	3:2
12.12.21	Náxara - Gernika	0:1

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