Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 34

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday


	Náxara		Egüés

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.9	4.2
	1.68	4	4.33
	1.7	3.73	4.61
	1.68	3.83	4.48
	1.66	3.8	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.94)	3.85 ↑ (3.2)	4.38 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náxara
55.3%

Draw
23.8%

Egüés
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

28.7%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.7%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náxara's performance.

Egüés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náxara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egüés than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Náxara - Egüés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, So Lora A. A. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Villoslada I. ⚽,
36', 3 - 0, Martinez M. P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
73', 3 - 1, Palacios P. ⚽,
86', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Náxara is Relegated to

Egüés is Relegated to

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

In this match Náxara is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Náxara won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.04.24	Izarra - Náxara	3:0 ✺
21.04.24	Náxara - Barbastro	0:3 ✺
13.04.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Náxara	4:0 ✺
07.04.24	Náxara - UD Logroñés	0:3 ✺
30.03.24	Brea - Náxara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Egüés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.04.24	Egüés - Tudelano	0:3 ✺
21.04.24	Calahorra - Egüés	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Egüés - Barakaldo	1:3 ✺
06.04.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Egüés	3:1 ✺
30.03.24	Egüés - San Juan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.01.24	Egüés - Náxara	1:0

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