Match Info

Kakkonen Group C

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Mosedal (Närpiö)


	Närpes		OsPa

	1	X	2
	3.4	4.1	1.71
	3.55	4.45	1.73
	3.45	4.59	1.68
	3.24	4.48	1.78	Watch
	3.68	4.5	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.24)	4.42 ↑ (4.05)	1.72 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Närpes
26.3%

Draw
20.6%

OsPa
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

22.8%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

22.6%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Närpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

OsPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Närpes than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OsPa than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Närpes - OsPa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Eriksson K. (G) 8. Avdili A. 5. Badnjevic R. 20. Bergvik V. 13. Ibric N. 7. Kalabic A. 10. Kronholm A. 21. Krook R. 30. Skogman E. 11. Sparv A. 17. Velic A.	1. Jarvinen E. (G) 2. Ajoung M. 5. Edeh C. 14. Evo K. 6. Flygare K. 13. Karsama J. 20. Lamsa O. 11. Piirto L. 4. Ridanpaa T. 25. Tervaoja S. 19. Tiainen L.
Substitutes
15. Kadic B. 23. Nordberg O. 12. Norrgard J. (G) 24. Patt E. 19. Pomba L. 14. Sabanovic A. 18. Westerholm A.	23. Lindroth E. 15. Nwachukwu S. 22. Oklenyi I. (G) 32. Saily D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Karsama J. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Badnjevic R. ⚽,
24', Velic A. 🟨,
24', 1 - 2, Evo K. (Pen),
28', 1 - 3, Tiainen L. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 3, Ibric N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Eriksson K. ↓, Kadic B. ↑,
53', Avdili A. 🟨,
62', Karsama J. ↓, Nwachukwu S. ↑,
62', Velic A. ↓, Westerholm A. ↑,
63', Ibric N. 🟨,
68', Lamsa O. ↓, Saily D. ↑,
69', Nwachukwu S. 🟨,
75', Badnjevic R. ↓, Sabanovic A. ↑,
78', Flygare K. 🟨,
81', Ridanpaa T. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
81', Tervaoja S. ↓, Lindroth E. ↑,
87', Tiainen L. 🟨,
88', Ajoung M. 🟨,
88', Bergvik V. ↓, Patt E. ↑,
90+4', Saily D. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 in the zone Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

OsPa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Närpes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Närpes Kraft Fotbollsförening
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
19.07.25	VIFK - Närpes	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Närpes - JBK	0:2 ✺
05.07.25	Närpes - GBK Kokkola	2:3 ✺
26.06.25	Närpes - SJK Akatemia 2	2:3 ✺
18.06.25	JS Hercules - Närpes	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLLW
- Oulunsalon Pallo
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
20.07.25	VPS 2 - OsPa	2:1 ✺
01.07.25	OsPa - JBK	4:1 ✺
26.06.25	TP-47 - OsPa	5:4 ✺
19.06.25	GBK Kokkola - OsPa	3:1 ✺
13.06.25	OsPa - JS Hercules	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
24.05.25	OsPa - Närpes	4:3

Närpes - OsPa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide