Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday

Location: Stade des Costières (Nîmes)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Nîmes		Sochaux

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.95	2.3
	2.9	3.1	2.4
	3.2	2.96	2.52
	3.01	2.95	2.4	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.25
	2.95	3.13	2.36	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.5)	3.04 ↓ (3.17)	2.38 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nîmes
31.1%

Draw
30.2%

Sochaux
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

29.3%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

29.5%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nîmes's form might have worsened.

Sochaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sochaux's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nîmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Nîmes - Sochaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sochaux will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 9. Abdeldjelil O. 27. Ali Abdallah A. 23. Beneddine M. 37. Bouaoune I. 5. Diouf W. 6. Doukansy B. 17. Labonne R. 14. Mexique J. 29. Paviot D. 18. Picouleau M. (C)	1. Patouillet M. (G) 26. Benchama S. 29. Dacosta J. 17. Fatar N. 8. Hoggas K. 19. Lecolier M. 21. Lienard D. 22. Loubao S. 7. Ouammou N. 14. Peybernes M. 4. Vitelli A. (C)
Substitutes
31. Akkal S. 33. Badu B. 7. Camara I. 34. El Hamri S. 36. Iafrate J.	31. Gnanduillet A. 24. Jean C. 33. Mendes Da Silva E. 5. Moltenis B. 10. Perreira de Sa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Lecolier M. 🟨,
42', Beneddine M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Doukansy B. 🟨,
62', Doukansy B. ↓, Akkal S. ↑,
63', Bouaoune I. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
64', Benchama S. 🟨,
65', Peybernes M. 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Picouleau M. ⚽,
67', Lecolier M. ↓, Gnanduillet A. ↑,
68', Loubao S. ↓, Jean C. ↑,
73', Benchama S. ↓, Perreira de Sa R. ↑,
76', Ali Abdallah A. 🟨,
81', Abdeldjelil O. ↓, Badu B. ↑,
83', Akkal S. 🟨,
85', Ali Abdallah A. ↓, El Hamri S. ↑,
90+2', Camara I. 🟥,
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14:21 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 3
27.09.24	Villefranche - Nîmes	0:0 ✺
20.09.24	Nîmes - Versailles	1:0 ✺
13.09.24	Concarneau - Nîmes	1:0 ✺
06.09.24	Nîmes - Rouen FC	2:2 ✺
30.08.24	Valenciennes - Nîmes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLTL
- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 3
27.09.24	Sochaux - Orleans	0:0 ✺
20.09.24	Aubagne - Sochaux	0:1 ✺
13.09.24	Sochaux - Nancy	2:3 ✺
06.09.24	Paris 13 Atletico - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
30.08.24	Sochaux - Le Mans	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
10.05.24	Nîmes - Sochaux	4:2
15.01.24	Sochaux - Nîmes	1:0
French Ligue 2
02.06.23	Nîmes - Sochaux	3:1
17.09.22	Sochaux - Nîmes	3:1
16.04.22	Nîmes - Sochaux	1:3
06.11.21	Sochaux - Nîmes	0:1
13.04.18	Nîmes - Sochaux	0:2

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