Match Info

National - Round 26

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny (Aubagne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Ecuador	DAZN App
France	BFM Marseille Provence, FFF TV
Mexico	DAZN App
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Aubagne		Sochaux

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.28
	3.22	3.25	2.34
	2.9	3.19	2.3	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.25
	3.11	3.06	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.38)	3.1 ↓ (3.24)	2.28 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aubagne
30.3%

Draw
29.5%

Sochaux
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

28.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

28.1%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aubagne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Aubagne - Sochaux Predictions

Users Predictions: Sochaux will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Gil J. (G) 27. Daou R. 5. Chibani N. 26. Nehari M. (C) 12. M'Dahoma K. 4. Diaby A. 7. Chaban K. 18. Oudjani A. 34. El Kaddouri B. 28. Bentoumi M. 14. Mayilla E.	30. Pierre A. (G) 17. Youssouf B. 4. Vitelli A. (C) 14. Peybernes M. 3. Gomis D. 15. Mexique J. 23. Masson J. 28. Boutoutaou A. 5. Baghdadi S. 7. Gomel B. 9. Djoco K.
Substitutes
31. Ahamada S. 19. Berrabha D. 33. Curis I. 17. Ndiaye O. 9. Tlili K.	8. Bayanginisa H. 20. Mendy P. 12. Sidibe A. 24. Tavares D. 11. Vetro J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Boutoutaou A. ⚽, Gomel B. (A),
39', Gil J. ↓, Ndiaye O. ↑,
44', Gomel B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', M'Dahoma K. 🟨,
50', 0 - 2, Baghdadi S. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Mayilla E. ↓, Tlili K. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Chibani N. ⚽, Chaban K. (A),
69', Oudjani A. ↓, Berrabha D. ↑,
70', Djoco K. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
77', Baghdadi S. ↓, Bayanginisa H. ↑,
77', Gomel B. ↓, Vetro J. ↑,
82', Daou R. ↓, Ahamada S. ↑,
83', 1 - 3, Bayanginisa H. ⚽, Sidibe A. (A),
85', 1 - 4, Sidibe A. ⚽, Boutoutaou A. (A),
88', Boutoutaou A. ↓, Tavares D. ↑,
88', Vitelli A. ↓, Mendy P. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )).

Aubagne has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sochaux is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aubagne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sochaux is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aubagne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Aubagne won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Aubagne	9	2	1	6	6:12	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Aubagne Air Bel
French Ligue 3
13.03.26	Dijon - Aubagne	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Aubagne - Fleury 91	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Versailles - Aubagne	3:0 ✺
20.02.26	Aubagne - Quevilly	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Aubagne - Bourg-Péronnas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW
- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 3
13.03.26	Sochaux - Concarneau	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Sochaux - Villefranche	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Caen - Sochaux	1:3 ✺
13.02.26	Sochaux - Paris 13 Atletico	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Stade Briochin - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
17.10.25	Sochaux - Aubagne	2:0
21.02.25	Sochaux - Aubagne	0:1
20.09.24	Aubagne - Sochaux	0:1

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